GRAND RAPIDS, Mich. (WOOD) — Just a day before Election Day, the presidential race in Michigan is too close to call, a new poll released Monday morning shows.
The survey conducted by Emerson College Polling, The Hill and WOOD TV8 found that 50% of Michigan voters said they intended to vote for Vice President Kamala Harris and 48% for former President Donald Trump.
Among Michigan voters, men are more likely to support Trump (55% to 43%) and women are more likely to support Harris (55% to 44%).
Emerson also surveyed voters in six other swing states — Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
The race is a tie in Nevada and Wisconsin, at 48% to 48% in Nevada and 49% to 49% in Wisconsin. In Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, Trump has a one-point lead. In Arizona, Trump has a two-point edge.
All polls are within each survey’s margin of error — plus or minus 3.4% for Michigan.
“As seen in national and previous polls, gender continues to provide a sharp contrast in voting intention,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement. “In states where Harris has an edge, like Michigan and Wisconsin, voters break in near opposite directions, whereas states where Trump has an edge, like North Carolina and Pennsylvania, men break for Trump by a larger margin than women break for Harris.”
U.S. SENATE RACE
In the race to represent Michigan in the U.S. Senate, U.S. Rep. Elissa Slotkin, a Democrat, is maintaining her lead over former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers, a Republican. The Emerson poll found 49% said they would vote for Slotkin and 45% for Rogers.
Rogers and Slotkin are vying to take the seat vacated when U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow, a Democrat, retires at the end of this term after 24 years. The election outcome will help determine which party controls the upper chamber.
The poll was conducted between Wednesday and Saturday.
State data shows that as of Monday morning, more than 1.2 million people had voted early in person and more than 1.9 million absentee ballots had been cast statewide. Election Day voting runs from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Absentee ballots must be returned to your clerk by 8 p.m. Tuesday to be counted (except for military and overseas ballots).